The race is on: no-deal or no Brexit

The race is on for Brexit no-deal

It’s Cheltenham week and the runners and riders are ready. The same is true in Westminster because there is a race on to get Brexit sorted. Tomorrow is a “crunch day” (about the 100th such day in the past couple of years). Politicians will have to make a decision as to where we go next. The bookies have their favourites for Cheltenham and this morning they have announced their expectations for Westminster too. It turns out that Mrs May’s deal only has an 18% chance of success according to the betting. So, given that almost everyone expects her to fail to get her deal through, the politicians have a few options still available. One of those is to accept the legal default position which is “no deal”. However, later in …

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MPs have no idea what they want over Brexit

MPs cannot make up their mind on Brexit

I thought I should give you an update from the Houses of Parliament. As you may recall, I summarised the voting a couple of weeks ago and thought it would be a good idea to say what happened yesterday in Parliament. There were several votes which resulted in the following decisions being made by our illustrious MPs. 1. They don’t want “no deal”2. They don’t want Mrs Mays deal3. They don’t want to extend Article 50 (Notice, they did not vote on what they do want.) That means they are left with only two options, neither of which do the MPs appear to have any intention of dealing with. (Though I suspect they might have a vote to confirm they don’t want these options either.) A. Get someone else other …

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MPs agree on what they already agreed upon for Brexit

Parliament votes on Brexit

Look, I don’t like to put a dampener on things on a day when MPs finally agreed to something. However, given that in various TV interviews people are calling tonight’s vote a “victory” and Mrs May herself is proclaiming the decision as some kind of historic moment, I thought I should clarify what has happened in the past couple of weeks. Two weeks ago a motion was rejected by Parliament which meant MPs were effectively saying “we don’t like this agreement, please get another one”. Tonight, an amendment was carried by Parliament, and that amendment is effectively saying, “we don’t like this agreement, please get another one.” All that has happened is semantics. MPs have supported an amendment which says the reverse of what was said in the original motion …

Read moreMPs agree on what they already agreed upon for Brexit